Early COVID-19 pandemic death toll much higher than official count: Study
Quick Insights
The Bottom Line
Study finds over 155,000 early COVID deaths went uncounted between March 2020 and December 2021.
AI Summary
A study published in Science Advances found that more than 155,000 additional COVID-19 deaths occurred outside hospitals between March 2020 and December 2021 and went uncounted in official tallies, meaning roughly 15.6 percent of pandemic deaths were missed. The research suggests that the true early death toll from the pandemic was significantly higher than recorded figures, likely because deaths in homes, nursing facilities, and other non-hospital settings often went unconfirmed or unreported. This gap in data has major implications for understanding the pandemic's true public health impact and for evaluating government response effectiveness during the critical early phases. The findings underscore how mortality surveillance systems struggled to capture deaths outside traditional hospital settings when testing was limited and death certificates sometimes lacked COVID diagnosis confirmation. Health officials and policymakers now have more precise accounting of the pandemic's actual toll during its deadliest period.
This article is part of a story we're tracking:
Should this be getting more attention?
You Might Have Missed
Related stories from different sources and perspectives
HealthDeath toll at start of Covid-19 pandemic likely higher than US count, study says
<p>Finding suggests as many as 155,000 deaths, likely occurring outside of hospitals, not recognized at Covid related</p><p>The Covid-19 pandemic’s early death toll was much higher than the official US count, according to a new study that spotlights dramatic disparities in the uncounted deaths.</p><p>About 840,000 Covid-19 deaths were reported on death certificates in 2020 and 2021. But a group of researchers – using a form of artificial intelligence – estimate that as many as 155,000 unrecognized additional deaths likely occurred in that time outside of hospitals. That would mean about 16% of Covid-19 deaths went uncounted in those years.</p> <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/mar/18/covid-19-pandemic-death-toll">Continue reading...</a>
HealthMore than 150,000 uncounted COVID-19 deaths occurred early in the pandemic, a study finds - AP News
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxNWkw0M0s5bkcwc2p5dThJdTV6d3VRcUtCbDRaY2ZPMFBoWmdwSUt0NGtVell0MVNpV1FMb1h2Mi1SQ0VNZzV6YjItRFdtR3VhOUNsNHlxRW83cGFMWFhQa2kyd2QtWU1nTUoyQk5ZYU9WakNrWG1ZeWdSN3puN0k2Q0xDa3NxUjlw?oc=5" target="_blank">More than 150,000 uncounted COVID-19 deaths occurred early in the pandemic, a study finds</a> <font color="#6f6f6f">AP News</font>
GlobalArgentina officially withdraws from World Health Organization, following US
Argentinian President Javier Milei has criticised the global health body for its response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Civil RightsWoman has sentence quashed by Tanzania court after over a decade on death row
<p>Lemi Limbu, who has severe intellectual disabilities, remains in prison and will now face retrial for the murder of her daughter</p><p>A woman with severe intellectual disabilities in Tanzania has had her conviction and death sentence quashed after spending more than a decade in prison awaiting execution.</p><p><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/ng-interactive/2025/nov/28/the-deadliest-wait-five-women-on-death-row">Lemi Limbu</a>, now in her early 30s, was convicted of the murder of her daughter in 2015. On 4 March, a court in Shinyanga, northern Tanzania, declared she can appeal. She will face a retrial, but a date has yet to be set.</p> <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/mar/19/tanzania-lemi-limbu-freed-woman-learning-disabilities-death-row">Continue reading...</a>
National SecurityTop intelligence officials spar with senators at hearing on threats to U.S.
Top intelligence officials testified Wednesday at a Senate hearing on national security threats. Leaders, including Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, were pressed on some of the conflicting claims that continue to come from the Trump administration about the nuclear threat Iran did or did not pose before the war. Nancy Cordes reports.
National SecurityWatch live: Pentagon officials face House questioning over US military posture in Europe
Defense Department officials will testify before the House Armed Services Committee on Wednesday morning over the U.S. military’s posture in Europe. The hearing comes after President Trump pressed European allies to join his Gaza Board of Peace — garnering some rejections — and “strongly encouraged” other nations to help police vessels traveling through the Strait…

More than 150,000 uncounted COVID-19 deaths occurred early in the pandemic, a study finds - AP News
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxNWkw0M0s5bkcwc2p5dThJdTV6d3VRcUtCbDRaY2ZPMFBoWmdwSUt0NGtVell0MVNpV1FMb1h2Mi1SQ0VNZzV6YjItRFdtR3VhOUNsNHlxRW83cGFMWFhQa2kyd2QtWU1nTUoyQk5ZYU9WakNrWG1ZeWdSN3puN0k2Q0xDa3NxUjlw?oc=5" target="_blank">More than 150,000 uncounted COVID-19 deaths occurred early in the pandemic, a study finds</a> <font color="#6f6f6f">AP News</font>
Did this story change how you see things?
Stories like this only matter when people see them. Help us get verified journalism in front of more eyes.
The Verity Ledger curates verified investigative journalism from trusted sources only.
See our sourcesMost Read This Week
Race on to establish globally recognised 'AI-free' logo

Biggest wildfire in Nebraska history continues to burn out of control - abcnews.com

TikTok and Meta risked safety to win algorithm arms race, whistleblowers say

Bank of America reaches proposed, non-binding settlement in Jeffrey Epstein suit

White House registers new ‘alien’-related .gov domains as DOD tackles Trump’s disclosure directive


