Soaring gas prices and disrupted supply chains will ripple out to increase costs in every store and sector of the economy

The Conversation
by Vidya Mani, Associate Professor of Business Administration, University of Virginia; Cornell University
March 25, 2026
2 views
4 min read

Quick Insights

The Bottom Line

Higher US gas prices and slowed oil production will drive up prices for food and goods across all retail sectors.

How This Affects You

Expect higher costs for groceries, household goods, and services as energy expenses are passed through supply chains to consumers.

AI Summary

U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran have disrupted global shipping lanes, commercial aircraft routes, and energy supplies, sending diesel prices from $3.89 to $5.37 per gallon between March 2-16, 2026. Qatar's liquefied natural gas plants sustained damage that forced the company to halt production of urea, polymers, and methanol—key inputs for fertilizer, plastics, and packaging—while closures of airspace in Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, and the UAE eliminated 20% of global air cargo capacity. The disruptions are expected to raise costs across groceries, household goods, electronics, medicines, and appliances as higher fuel and freight expenses propagate through domestic and global supply chains. Asian manufacturing hubs dependent on Persian Gulf energy through the Strait of Hormuz will exhaust their reserves within months, threatening production of textiles, auto parts, and consumer electronics. U.S. consumers will face compounding inflation as European suppliers and globally sourced materials all face steeper transportation and energy costs.

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