2026 isn’t 1979: How the US could withstand another oil shock
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The Bottom Line
America's status as the world's largest oil producer would limit damage from potential oil shocks.
How This Affects You
Your gas prices may not spike as severely during oil crises due to domestic U.S. oil production.
AI Summary
The United States' status as the world's largest oil producer would help limit economic damage from a potential oil shock in 2026, unlike the severe impact of the 1979 crisis.
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‘We cut down the menu’: Cooking gas crisis hit restaurants in India amid war in Iran
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<p>Oil <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/03/09/oil-prices-gas-iran-war" target="_blank">prices</a> would need to stay high for years — not weeks or months — to drive a lasting shift away from the fossil fuel.</p><p><strong>The big picture:</strong> Every time oil spikes, the same question surfaces: Will this push more people into electric cars or install solar panels onto rooftops?</p><hr><p><strong>State of play:</strong> That's <a href="https://www.threads.com/%40bettemidler/post/DVfZXfQFBfw/photo-posted-by-bette-midler-bettemidler" target="_blank">happening again</a> following oil prices<a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/03/08/iran-war-oil-market-barrel-cost" target="_blank"> zoomed past</a> the $100-a-barrel mark in the wake of the Iran war. </p><p><strong>Driving the news: </strong>Prices dropped at least temporarily in the wake of President Trump signaling Monday evening he <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/03/09/trump-iran-war-over-soon" target="_blank">wants a quick end...
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<p>While some argue for destroying the terminal though which 90% of Iran’s oil exports flow, others caution of a global market ‘tailspin’</p><p>Kharg Island – through which 90% of Iran’s oil exports flow – is arguably the country’s most sensitive economic target but the export terminal has so far remained untouched throughout the US-Israel bombing campaign.</p><p>Experts say bombing or capturing the site with US forces would be likely to cause a sustained increase to already surging oil prices, as it would amount to taking the entirety of Iran’s daily crude exports offline.</p> <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/11/why-irans-vital-kharg-island-oil-hub-is-still-untouched-by-us-israel-bombers">Continue reading...</a>
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Israel on Sunday struck southern Lebanon, Beirut and an oil storage facility in Tehran as the war in the Middle East keeps escalating. "The Israeli army expects the current phase of this campaign to last another two weeks", said FRANCE 24's Noga Tarnopolsky. The Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in his remarks yesterday that the current campaign is "creating the conditions to overthrow the regime", added Tarnopolsky.

Economy showed cracks pre-Iran attack, data shows
<p>The economy was flashing stagflation signals — tepid growth and high inflation — even before the <a href="https://www.axios.com/world/iran" target="_blank">Iran</a> conflict added an oil shock to the mix.</p><p><strong>Why it matters:</strong> What happens when geopolitical turmoil clogs up the world's oil supply chain, against a backdrop of a U.S. economy losing momentum amid sticky inflation?</p><ul><li>We're about to find out.</li></ul><hr><p><strong>Driving the news:</strong> A revision to fourth-quarter GDP shows the economy grew at only a 0.7% annualized rate in the final months of 2025, half as much as the 1.4% growth rate originally estimated.</p><ul><li>Real final sales to private domestic purchasers, an underlying measure of growth that sums up consumer spending and private investment, rose at a 1.9% annual rate in the fourth quarter — a downward revision of 0.5 percentage point.</li></ul><p><strong>By the numbers: </strong>Also Friday morning, the Commerce Department r...
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