Can the Iran Ceasefire Last? We Asked 3 Experts About the Road Ahead

TIME
by Brian Bennett
April 8, 2026
6 min read

Quick Insights

The Bottom Line

Experts question the durability of President Trump's two-week ceasefire with Iran.

How This Affects You

Ongoing ground-level attacks and Iran's demand for tolls in the Strait of Hormuz could impact global energy prices.

AI Summary

President Trump is celebrating a two-week ceasefire with Iran, a loose agreement brokered by Pakistani officials. Further diplomatic talks are slated to begin in Islamabad later this week, following the U.S.'s 38-day bombardment of Iran. The ceasefire is fragile, with ongoing ground-level attacks by Iranian units and increased Israeli actions against Iranian proxies in Lebanon. Experts Daniel Fried, Mark Montgomery, and Brandan Buck question the ceasefire's durability and the potential for Iran to gain leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. Iran is now demanding vessels notify its military before sailing through the Strait of Hormuz, a development former ambassador Daniel Fried notes Iran did not have before the war.

What's Being Done

Further diplomatic talks are slated to begin in Islamabad later this week.

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