Newly created Polymarket accounts bet big on US-Iran ceasefire in hours before Trump's announcement - AP News

AP News
April 8, 2026
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2 min read

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Unusual betting on a US-Iran ceasefire occurred on Polymarket hours before President Trump's announcement.

AI Summary

Newly created Polymarket accounts placed significant bets on a US-Iran ceasefire in the hours leading up to President Trump's announcement. These accounts, which were recently established, indicated foreknowledge or strong speculation regarding the impending diplomatic development. This activity raises questions about potential insider trading or information leaks related to sensitive White House foreign policy decisions. The timing suggests that some individuals may have profited from information not yet public, impacting the integrity of prediction markets.

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