Change in Data Sources Led to Lower Inflation Reading
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The Bottom Line
Government changed how it measures inflation, leading to unexpectedly lower numbers that economists question.
How This Affects You
If inflation data is inaccurate, Federal Reserve interest rate decisions affecting your mortgage and loan rates may be based on flawed information.
AI Summary
A methodological change in data sources contributed to a lower-than-expected inflation reading in the latest report. The unexpected result has prompted questions from economists about the validity of the data. The change raises concerns about the accuracy of inflation measurements used for economic policy decisions.
What's Being Done
Economists are questioning the validity of the new methodology and its impact on economic policy decisions.
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Economy showed cracks pre-Iran attack, data shows
<p>The economy was flashing stagflation signals — tepid growth and high inflation — even before the <a href="https://www.axios.com/world/iran" target="_blank">Iran</a> conflict added an oil shock to the mix.</p><p><strong>Why it matters:</strong> What happens when geopolitical turmoil clogs up the world's oil supply chain, against a backdrop of a U.S. economy losing momentum amid sticky inflation?</p><ul><li>We're about to find out.</li></ul><hr><p><strong>Driving the news:</strong> A revision to fourth-quarter GDP shows the economy grew at only a 0.7% annualized rate in the final months of 2025, half as much as the 1.4% growth rate originally estimated.</p><ul><li>Real final sales to private domestic purchasers, an underlying measure of growth that sums up consumer spending and private investment, rose at a 1.9% annual rate in the fourth quarter — a downward revision of 0.5 percentage point.</li></ul><p><strong>By the numbers: </strong>Also Friday morning, the Commerce Department r...
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