Housing market to soften amid Iran war fallout, Nationwide says

BBC News
March 31, 2026
3 min read

Quick Insights

The Bottom Line

Iran conflict could push mortgage rates higher, softening U.S. housing market and hurting first-time buyers.

How This Affects You

Rising mortgage rates and energy costs tied to Iran tensions could make home purchases less affordable and erode your purchasing power if you're considering buying or refinancing soon.

AI Summary

Nationwide says the housing market is poised to soften as fallout from the Iran conflict drives up mortgage and energy costs, potentially eroding consumer confidence. The lender noted the market regained momentum in March, but warned that sustained increases in borrowing costs and fuel prices could reverse that gains. Rising mortgage rates have historically dampened home sales and affordability, particularly for first-time buyers operating on fixed budgets. Nationwide's forecast suggests that geopolitical tensions abroad are now bleeding into domestic real estate dynamics, a sign lenders are monitoring how international conflicts ripple through consumer finances. The assessment reflects broader concerns in the financial sector about whether households can maintain spending and borrowing appetite amid inflationary pressures.

Source Coverage Map

22 of 43 tracked sources covered this story

51% coverage
Did Not Cover (21)
ICIJ97AP US News96ProPublica95Bellingcat95PBS NewsHour94+16 more

Following this story?

Get notified when new coverage appears

Should this be getting more attention?

You Might Have Missed

Related stories from different sources and perspectives

Trump interrupts a Cabinet meeting dealing with the Iran war and rising prices to talk Sharpies - AP News
Politics

Trump interrupts a Cabinet meeting dealing with the Iran war and rising prices to talk Sharpies - AP News

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimgFBVV95cUxPZVVvM1JXTG9Lb0lCWnRyeWNVTnRHSEN6YlRrOW9ULVVRN1FieUpsT08yWmc3Y040OFZaS19GdkNCTHBrZUxlODRNTS1ULURxLTJYWk1PeDgyeXUxNUlQX1pCbURJaHo5SWhJMzk5b0Z1dk4tVzhRNXpLRkpiU3FPTXBlRlFPVGxRbEtlakVsRk5FYkpiSl9PWDdB?oc=5" target="_blank">Trump interrupts a Cabinet meeting dealing with the Iran war and rising prices to talk Sharpies</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;<font color="#6f6f6f">AP News</font>

AP NewsMar 26
War with Iran disrupts fertilizer exports as U.S. farmers prepare for planting season
Finance

War with Iran disrupts fertilizer exports as U.S. farmers prepare for planting season

Gulf states are major fertilizer producers, and the war with Iran has triggered a 25% price hike just as struggling U.S. farmers are planting corn.

NPRMar 26
Iran war starts to hit global economy, business surveys show - Reuters
Finance

Iran war starts to hit global economy, business surveys show - Reuters

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxNTjhPUlBHc0VJZkVoRlg2Q0lyTmpSUHB1azRGaGpPdUZSX29YYTN3MXJsN0lKSmNIV3ZzUXgxSENaQ3U5V2tnd0wwLW1Qd1lMU2dqR0NYZTdlOFBmNVBMbEJfTTJCaU84dklSWkFNZnoxdUNXZjRPOVBOdE94RldfcFBDUm05WHQ4WFI1T1NlR0tfMW1MbDJtNlIwZVNwLW16MzRxNWtSUW9pcXpTS25jQg?oc=5" target="_blank">Iran war starts to hit global economy, business surveys show</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;<font color="#6f6f6f">Reuters</font>

ReutersMar 24
'JD or Marco?’: Iran war raises 2028 stakes as Trump weighs Vance vs. Rubio - Reuters
Politics

'JD or Marco?’: Iran war raises 2028 stakes as Trump weighs Vance vs. Rubio - Reuters

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxOMG1wX3BaYkRGekduZURYQmNnQTU2NDY3Q2hiLUpDMnJRY1NsS2d4UlhOb01zeUJvaDl1LUtOMHdTR1dYWkdpSEk3ZlJ4S0V2YXc2em9ldDNVWEl6X1JFVFlBVzJiVkN6V3UwSE5zZ2ZEd2dGYjExTFZWQTRLUU9GV1VyVk92dDV3SU1lb2wtdUFlcnA2QVJJVWhPWlI5THNkc3JRQTRVb1MtbHdveTB1QkVR?oc=5" target="_blank">'JD or Marco?’: Iran war raises 2028 stakes as Trump weighs Vance vs. Rubio</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;<font color="#6f6f6f">Reuters</font>

ReutersMar 29
The right is openly divided over the Iran war as conservatives gather for CPAC
Politics

The right is openly divided over the Iran war as conservatives gather for CPAC

This year, neither Trump nor Vice President JD Vance has been publicly announced as speaking to the gathering. But among those who are slated to speak are big names in the MAGA movement who have voiced conflicting views on the Iran war.

PBS NewsHourMar 25
What we know and don’t know about the Iran war negotiations - AP News
Global

What we know and don’t know about the Iran war negotiations - AP News

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilAFBVV95cUxQQWNobF90OVZRWTItX3ZFeUFXMU5CVEp2TjRabjBMMjBsWHZQWlF5N0lCckhycWtKUmcwX3dIdHk5OUpvTlNVUWNXVnRsUy1jaEJWSHhsWUtacXZFdnpwNkpYTUFnekpIdmNUQVpEQVVZQ0wwTG13ck5rd3B5T3lDSE1ta0xCd3ZoaWFtaHBmczRsbzB6?oc=5" target="_blank">What to know about possible talks to wind down the Iran war</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;<font color="#6f6f6f">AP News</font>

AP NewsMar 25
Read Next
Gas prices top $4 a gallon as Iran war triggers global oil shock
Finance

Gas prices top $4 a gallon as Iran war triggers global oil shock

Fuel costs last exceeded $4 a gallon in 2022, AAA data showed.

Continue reading

Did this story change how you see things?

Stories like this only matter when people see them. Help us get verified journalism in front of more eyes.

Share this story

Get the daily digest

Save for later

The Verity Ledger curates verified investigative journalism from trusted sources only.

See our sources