Prediction Markets? An 83% Chance That Oscars Pundits Hate Them.

New York Times
by Matt Stevens
March 14, 2026
3 min read

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Online betting markets for Oscar predictions don't interest traditional awards experts.

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Prediction markets for online wagering are gaining popularity, but Academy Awards experts who have built brands around predicting Oscar races show little interest in the crowdsourced betting data. The entertainment industry pundits prefer to rely on their established methods rather than incorporate wagering odds into their forecasting models. This resistance creates a divide between traditional awards season prognosticators and the growing online betting community. The reluctance suggests Oscar prediction experts view their expertise as distinct from crowd-generated market data. The separation means audiences seeking awards predictions will continue to find different approaches from betting sites versus entertainment industry analysts.

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