The US may send thousands of troops to Iran. Have we learned nothing from the past? | Moustafa Bayoumi

The Guardian US News
by Moustafa Bayoumi
March 31, 2026
3 min read

Quick Insights

The Bottom Line

The US may deploy thousands of troops to Iran, repeating the poor planning that defined the Iraq War.

How This Affects You

Potential military escalation could increase military spending, affect oil prices, and put American troops at risk in another prolonged conflict with uncertain outcomes.

AI Summary

Columnist Moustafa Bayoumi argues that the US-Israel military campaign against Iran represents a "colossal blunder" comparable to the 2003 Iraq invasion, criticizing what he describes as poor planning and inadequate preparation for Iran's response. The Trump administration has reportedly underestimated Iran's ability to disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, creating massive disruptions to global energy supplies and critical commodity flows. Bayoumi contends the war is illegal under international law and a continuation of the erosion of global norms that began with Israel's military campaign in Gaza. The piece draws a parallel to the 2003 Iraq war, which US officials claimed would be brief but instead became one of America's longest military engagements, suggesting policymakers have failed to learn from that experience.

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