Trump is being schooled on the limits of US power – but he is a slow learner | Rafael Behr

The Guardian US News
by Rafael Behr
March 18, 2026
6 views
4 min read

Quick Insights

The Bottom Line

Trump's Iran airstrikes failed to achieve strategic objectives, exposing limits of U.S. military power over regional shipping threats.

How This Affects You

If Iran threatens Strait of Hormuz shipping, global oil prices and consumer goods costs may rise due to disrupted international commerce.

AI Summary

Trump's military strike on Iran has failed to achieve its strategic objectives, exposing constraints on American power that the president appears reluctant to acknowledge. The airstrikes were intended to demonstrate US military dominance but instead revealed that military force cannot eliminate Iran's geographic advantage over global shipping routes or manufacture political upheaval within Iran itself. Despite the show of force, Tehran's control over the Strait of Hormuz remains intact, allowing it to threaten merchant vessels and disrupt international commerce—a leverage point that Trump's arsenal cannot eliminate. The president is now pressuring NATO allies to provide naval escorts and calling on tanker crews to risk sailing through contested waters, effectively asking others to absorb the costs of a strategy that hasn't worked. The pattern reflects a broader struggle Trump faces: his "America First" approach repeatedly collides with the reality that US economic and military dominance has real limits in an interdependent global system.

What's Being Done

Trump is pressuring NATO allies to provide naval escorts and calling on tanker crews to sail through contested waters.

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