Trump relied on unverified intelligence to blame Iran for deadly school strike

The Guardian US News
by Hugo Lowell in Washington
March 17, 2026
3 min read

Quick Insights

The Bottom Line

Trump blamed Iran for a school strike based on intelligence assessments that analysts quickly rejected as unreliable.

How This Affects You

Unverified intelligence claims may influence military decisions affecting U.S. personnel and civilians in conflict zones.

AI Summary

President Trump blamed Iran for a deadly strike on an elementary school based on an early US intelligence assessment that was almost immediately dismissed by analysts, according to sources familiar with the matter. The CIA initially suggested the missile was not a US munition because the fins appeared positioned too low for a Tomahawk cruise missile, but this assessment was quickly rejected by intelligence officials. Trump's public attribution to Iran proceeded despite this rapid reversal in the intelligence community's conclusion. The discrepancy raises questions about how the president's statements were shaped by preliminary and ultimately discredited intelligence analysis. The incident underscores tensions between initial intelligence assessments and their reliability when used to inform public statements by senior officials.

Source Coverage Map

2 of 43 tracked sources covered this story

Overlooked Story
5% coverage
Did Not Cover (41)
ICIJ97AP World News96AP News96AP US News96AP Top News96+36 more

Following this story?

Get notified when new coverage appears

Other Sources Covering This Story

1 source

Multiple outlets have reported on this story. Compare perspectives from different sources.

Should this be getting more attention?

You Might Have Missed

Related stories from different sources and perspectives

U.S. investigates strike on Iranian school as the war sparks a global oil crisis
Global

U.S. investigates strike on Iranian school as the war sparks a global oil crisis

Trump, who promised to lower gas prices, is tapping the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as war drives prices up. And, the U.S. investigates the strike on an Iranian school that killed at least 165 people.

NPRMar 12
Trump Once Did a Deal With Oligarchs Allegedly Linked to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard
National Security

Trump Once Did a Deal With Oligarchs Allegedly Linked to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard

In the opening days of his war against Iran, Donald Trump had a message for members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps: Surrender and get “total immunity”—or face “absolutely guaranteed death.” An elite armed force that exists outside Iran’s normal military structure, the IRGC began as the ayatollah’s personal strike force. But during the country’s […]

Mother JonesMar 16
US may have struck Iranian girls' school after using outdated targeting data, sources say - Reuters
National Security

US may have struck Iranian girls' school after using outdated targeting data, sources say - Reuters

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxOZFdPV09fUWxMekpFaEVvYnBNTG1xOVZtNk9hZUpFNHptM0I0X0dOVkV3YmhzY3pnS2U4WWR0VnJiVjJVUGRCZ2dMalRydm9XRWx2bjhJaWNPTW9RdzBRWDhaR21sb2hzMkxFS0pwTHpBUUliblZUUEF3X3RQTjFURzFmdks5bmRkd2NoUVFQdDA5OFRXOFg5NE81N3k3OTVNTDRNLXJxTE5OXzBrcVE0WXQtSkFkV09aOG5vcGp6ajlINWZmTTJLSQ?oc=5" target="_blank">US may have struck Iranian girls' school after using outdated targeting data, sources say</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;<font color="#6f6f6f">Reuters</font>

ReutersMar 11
Trump administration denounces CNN for airing messages from Iranian leaders - AP News
Politics

Trump administration denounces CNN for airing messages from Iranian leaders - AP News

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxNRTlsd1VuRXNUUmNBbmRYOWttTndjbi1tNjI4OG15cHJSMGdMQTZGRTltNUk1eFUtM24xbjdlTXNFUXZVMEhURzRGT016WWZCZnN0VmFQcVRaYTFOSkVoZmpVU3p3c0ppNDhaZGxXd0tWWi1iTmNIQjljVmdZVlRXd2MwMzlUS2IzLUpvdmd2cUpzX3ZlOHRpVWdhcklfa3ZnTlNQbmlQQQ?oc=5" target="_blank">Trump administration denounces CNN for airing messages from Iranian leaders</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;<font color="#6f6f6f">AP News</font>

AP NewsMar 13
Trump announces AI chatbot ban while Pentagon uses it to prepare Iran attacks
AI & Warfare

Trump announces AI chatbot ban while Pentagon uses it to prepare Iran attacks

In the hours leading up to the US attack on Iran, Donald Trump announced that technology company Anthropic would be banned from all work with the federal government. At the same time, Anthropic's artificial intelligence chatbot Claude was reportedly being used by the Pentagon to prepare the attack. FRANCE 24 tech journalist Charlotte Lam gives us her analysis.

AFP / France 24Mar 16
Trump’s FCC chair wants American media to work like Iran’s state TV | Caitlin Vogus
Government Transparency

Trump’s FCC chair wants American media to work like Iran’s state TV | Caitlin Vogus

<p>If Brendan Carr and the US president’s attacks on the press aren’t stopped, the outcome could be dire</p><p>Over the weekend, Donald Trump fumed on Truth Social about newspapers covering attacks on US tanker aircrafts in Saudi Arabia. Within hours, Federal Communications Commission chair Brendan Carr <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/mar/14/fcc-broadcast-permits-iran-war-news">reposted</a> Trump’s rant and vowed to revoke the licenses of broadcasters who air what he called “fake news”. For some extra brownie points, Carr tossed in a line about Trump’s “landslide election victory”, too.</p><p>Early on Monday, Trump completed the sycophantic cycle with a second post <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/mar/16/trump-fcc-chair-broadcast-license-threat-iran-war">announcing</a> that he’s “thrilled” by Carr’s threats and accusing unnamed media outlets of “treason” and a lack of patriotism for reporting on AI fakes linked to Iran. (It’s not clear what Trump w...

The Guardian US NewsMar 17
Read Next
Trump Once Did a Deal With Oligarchs Allegedly Linked to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard
National Security

Trump Once Did a Deal With Oligarchs Allegedly Linked to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard

In the opening days of his war against Iran, Donald Trump had a message for members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps: Surrender and get “total immunity”—or face “absolutely guaranteed death.” An elite armed force that exists outside Iran’s normal military structure, the IRGC began as the ayatollah’s personal strike force. But during the country’s […]

Continue reading

Did this story change how you see things?

Stories like this only matter when people see them. Help us get verified journalism in front of more eyes.

Share this story

Get the daily digest

Save for later

The Verity Ledger curates verified investigative journalism from trusted sources only.

See our sources