Why Trump's Cuba takeover plans could see a Castro return as ruler

Axios
by Rebecca Falconer
March 17, 2026
4 min read

Quick Insights

The Bottom Line

Trump threatens to seize Cuba amid the island's deepening energy crisis and blackout under US oil blockade.

AI Summary

President Trump escalated threats this week to seize Cuba, telling reporters Monday he believes he'll be "having the honor of taking" the island as it faces a deepening energy crisis and island-wide blackouts following a U.S.-imposed oil blockade. Cuba's fuel shipments have halted for three months after the U.S. operation that captured Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, and Trump's administration has threatened tariffs on countries providing fuel to the island, further worsening the crisis. Rather than pursuing wholesale regime change, analysts predict Trump could install a new leader while leaving some existing regime officials in power — a model he followed in Venezuela. Secretary of State Marco Rubio held secret talks with Raúl Guillermo Rodríguez Castro, a 41-year-old grandson of former leader Raúl Castro, and two other members of Cuba's ruling family have emerged as potential successors to current leader Miguel Díaz-Canel. All three candidates — Rodríguez Castro, 54-year-old technocrat Oscar Pérez-Oliva Fraga, and 60-year-old former intelligence chief Alejandro Castro Espín — come from the Castro family or inner circle, potentially paving the way for another Castro to lead Cuba.

Source Coverage Map

6 of 43 tracked sources covered this story

14% coverage
Did Not Cover (37)
ICIJ97AP World News96AP News96AP US News96AP Top News96+32 more

Following this story?

Get notified when new coverage appears

Should this be getting more attention?

You Might Have Missed

Related stories from different sources and perspectives

How giving $1M to Trump's team made him a top contender for Georgia governor
Politics

How giving $1M to Trump's team made him a top contender for Georgia governor

<p>Billionaire Rick Jackson filed to run for Georgia governor at the last minute even though another Republican had been endorsed by <a href="https://www.axios.com/politics-policy/donald-trump" target="_blank">President Trump</a>. But Jackson made a move that helped put him in contention: He gave $1 million to Trump's political operation.</p><p><strong>Why it matters:</strong> Now <a href="https://www.ajc.com/politics/2026/03/rick-jackson-promises-to-unwind-his-companys-state-contracts-if-elected/" target="_blank">Jackson</a>, a political neophyte, is atop GOP polls and the latest wealthy individual to endear themself to Trump by funneling massive sums to the president's pet causes.</p><hr><ul><li>Deep-pocketed individuals and companies seeking endorsements, pardons and crypto deregulation have <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/12/22/us/politics/trump-donors-fundraising-benefits.html" target="_blank">poured money</a> into Trump's political operation, his White House ...

AxiosMar 17
‘I think Cuba sees the end’: Trump hints at imminent change in the island nation - Politico
Politics

‘I think Cuba sees the end’: Trump hints at imminent change in the island nation - Politico

PoliticoMar 16
Answering Trump's call for help in Middle East 'political suicide' for allies
Global

Answering Trump's call for help in Middle East 'political suicide' for allies

President Donald Trump urged NATO partners and China to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz as it remains closed due to the ongoing war in the Middle East triggered by the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran. FRANCE 24's Oliver Farry looks at why Trump's plan could be easier said than done.

AFP / France 24Mar 16
Canada Plans Military Expansion in Arctic, Following Trump Threats
National Security

Canada Plans Military Expansion in Arctic, Following Trump Threats

Prime Minister Mark Carney said Canada would build three bases in the region. The government also plans to improve infrastructure and airports in the north.

New York TimesMar 13
How Trump's Treasury is shifting sanctions to punish his critics and reward friends - NPR
Politics

How Trump's Treasury is shifting sanctions to punish his critics and reward friends - NPR

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxQa19sUXc0b3A3N3FmcVZydzY4S054RmFfc1V6UHRnQmhBc2ozZUkwUDlUOGlIaG1jQ2wtVXMxakdsQTdEY0ppYWh4U3d6ZGdGQl9QeEY5QlQzWUNEa0JtN3hrSEc2bmhTQ2FPQTg3YXZuaW9PbTI5RlIxR3c1cXlfNXpKRjRjN2hja2xENA?oc=5" target="_blank">How Trump's Treasury is shifting sanctions to punish his critics and reward friends</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;<font color="#6f6f6f">NPR</font>

NPRMar 17
Trump team applying pressure to media: Tell the war’s story the way we see it - AP News
Politics

Trump team applying pressure to media: Tell the war’s story the way we see it - AP News

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxPQ29LMDZQYTdhRHFyRnpnd044TGo1OWNVTGVTMTU0d09mV2FiOXRuR0lxZjhkWHMwTVZTNnRlNGQ3V1M0djI4enNTQ3RYX3pGVGE0XzJzcUN3MmtnV2F2eVhadUUwR3pQdkJwYXg4UzNwaV81RTBEVFRKM3FvR25OMW5qSnNOdE5NYTc4TVo3WUJhd1c2cFdUaGlOSmxTTkRpYjJSSmRkMA?oc=5" target="_blank">Trump team applying pressure to media: Tell the war’s story the way we see it</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;<font color="#6f6f6f">AP News</font>

AP NewsMar 17
Read Next
FCC chair threatens broadcasters' licenses over negative coverage of the war in Iran - NPR
Politics

FCC chair threatens broadcasters' licenses over negative coverage of the war in Iran - NPR

Continue reading

Did this story change how you see things?

Stories like this only matter when people see them. Help us get verified journalism in front of more eyes.

Share this story

Get the daily digest

Save for later

The Verity Ledger curates verified investigative journalism from trusted sources only.

See our sources