Fed keeps rates on hold, Powell says he will remain in place until successor confirmed
Quick Insights
The Bottom Line
Federal Reserve held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% while Chair Powell pledged to stay until his successor is confirmed.
How This Affects You
Mortgage and credit card rates will likely remain elevated; inflation expectations rising to 2.7% may pressure your purchasing power.
AI Summary
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% on Wednesday as Chair Jerome Powell said he will serve as "chairman pro tempore" after his term expires May 15 if Kevin Warsh, Trump's nominee to replace him, has not been confirmed. Sen. Thom Tillis is blocking Warsh's confirmation pending resolution of a criminal investigation into Powell that the senator views as an attempt to pressure rate cuts. Powell's stance sets up a confrontation with the Trump administration, which has sought lower rates, over control of the central bank. Fed officials are divided on the path forward: seven see rates staying on hold through 2026 while seven others anticipate at least one cut, and new projections show officials now expect inflation at 2.7%, up from 2.4% in December due to Middle East oil shocks. If confirmed, Warsh would inherit a fractured policy committee with competing views on rate policy amid uncertain economic conditions.
What's Being Done
Sen. Thom Tillis is blocking Kevin Warsh's confirmation as Powell's successor pending resolution of a criminal investigation.
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FinanceNew economic projections signal a tricky Federal Reserve path
<p>The Federal Reserve will almost certainly hold rates steady, but fresh economic projections and other communications due out Wednesday afternoon will show how the central bank is absorbing two uncomfortable realities at once.</p><p><strong>Why it matters: </strong>The energy shock from the Iran war adds a new factor to the Fed's complicated calculus. Inflation is running hotter than expected, even before the war's impact materializes in the data. Labor market data has been grim, and it's unclear how a sustained oil shock could weigh more heavily on the economy.</p><hr><ul><li>Whatever the projections show will set the table for Fed chair Jerome Powell's successor, Kevin Warsh.</li></ul><p><strong>What they're saying: </strong>"The new dot plot likely will indicate that most members retain a bias to ease policy this year and in 2027," Sam Tombs, chief U.S. economist at Pantheon Macro, wrote in a client note.</p><ul><li>But Tombs cautioned that "the biggest risk to markets" is if n...
FinanceThe Federal Reserve is facing tough choices as the economy faces deep uncertainty
The Federal Reserve's job is expected to hold its benchmark interest rate steady as it faces inflationary pressure from the war with Iran — and a weakening labor market.
FinanceLive updates: Interest rates steady, Federal Reserve forecasts one rate cut in 2026 - Yahoo Finance
FinanceThe Iran war is making it harder for Fed officials to cut interest rates
Some economists think the Fed, facing inflationary pressures from rising energy prices, may not cut interest rates at all this year.
Government TransparencyJudge blocks DOJ subpoenas involving Fed Chair Jerome Powell
A federal judge blocked subpoenas issued by the Justice Department against Fed Chair Jerome Powell after determining the government "produced essentially zero evidence."
Government TransparencyJudge quashes subpoenas in Justice Department's investigation of Fed chair Jerome Powell - AP News
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US Postal Service could run out of money as soon as October - Reuters
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