How high could oil and gas prices go if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed?

CBS News
April 1, 2026
3 min read

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The Bottom Line

Economist Paul Krugman warns oil and gas prices could spike dramatically if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.

How This Affects You

A sustained closure of this strait, which carries one-fifth of global oil supply, would raise gas prices at the pump and increase heating and manufacturing costs nationwide.

AI Summary

Economist Paul Krugman has warned that oil and gas prices could rise dramatically if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, calling worst-case scenarios "extremely plausible." The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint through which roughly one-fifth of the world's oil supply passes daily, making it vital to global energy markets and prices. A sustained closure would disrupt global oil supplies and likely trigger significant price increases that would ripple through economies worldwide, affecting everything from gasoline at the pump to heating costs and manufacturing expenses. The warning underscores growing concerns about potential disruptions to one of the world's most strategically important waterways, where geopolitical tensions have periodically raised closure risks. Energy markets remain sensitive to any threats to Hormuz transit, with previous regional conflicts causing sharp price spikes.

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